Polymarket Trader

lgtnb15

0xe494ea3e8511852e5b990fbccb0e2f9a5f758a98

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $260
Realized PnL: -$779.79
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 5?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.1K
Potential profit: $4.1K
User PnL: -$3.08K

Yes position

Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $260
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $65

Down position

Silver (SI) Up or Down on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$36

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 46°F or higher on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.28K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Yes 69% 2.69 shares
Silver (SI) Up or Down on January 26?

Down 12% 300 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 31?

Yes 99.9% 100.1 shares