Yes position
Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270
- Potential profit
- $270
- User PnL
- -$145.8
Polymarket Trader
xfm-2-6
0xe4a4a2a2dcdddb7682177698cbbf10f8d4daa505
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $61.6
- Realized PnL
- $53.57
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $61.6
- Potential payout
- $246.4
- Potential profit
- $184.8
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$64.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.02
No position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.34
No position
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.7
No position
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.96
No position
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Databricks IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
No position
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 51% 246.4 shares
- Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No 79.8% 170 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 86.7% 57.68 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 86.8% 44.4 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 87% 2.92 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 87.1% 75 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 63% 180 shares
- Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?No 64% 180 shares
- Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?No 55.8% 180 shares
- Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February?No 54% 187.34 shares
- Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February?No 48% 190 shares
- Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No 67% 140 shares