No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $65.03
- Potential payout
- $68.93
- Potential profit
- $3.89
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.03
Polymarket Trader
aaaafffd
0xe4a5963b14ba87bb77e80a28b6f19c6e5e0ca028
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $83.25
- Realized PnL
- -$4.35
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $29.14
- Potential profit
- $28.72
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$9.78
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.69
- Potential profit
- $27.69
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $25.64
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Current value
- $8.59
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $14.14
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$3.91
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $9.2
- Potential payout
- $21.15
- Potential profit
- $11.95
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.59
- Potential profit
- $10.59
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.73
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 27?
Ends Oct 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.04
No position
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.94
No position
Will someone else be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.81
No position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$3.04
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes 35% 29.14 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91.4% 68.93 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?No 92% 10.87 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No 96.2% 10.4 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No 88% 11.36 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No 90% 11.11 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?No 94.4% 10.59 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?No 91.3% 11.39 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 40.8% 22.72 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 32% 21.73 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 46% 21.74 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 52% 21.15 shares