Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.61
- Potential profit
- $196.61
- User PnL
- -$7
Polymarket Trader
0xe4AAd45A39083D1603B5D5Cb44FfCF3A3d686b4b-1776317686728
0xe4aad45a39083d1603b5d5cb44ffcf3a3d686b4b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $156.82
- Realized PnL
- $150.04
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $156.82
- Potential payout
- $181.3
- Potential profit
- $24.47
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$3.18
Yes position
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.28
- Potential profit
- $116.28
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.59
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.22
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.05
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.09
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-20?Yes 84% 41.67 shares
- Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Yes 86% 116.28 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?Yes 81.9% 122.12 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 3.6% 196.61 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 88.3% 181.3 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Yes 99.5% 143.3 shares
- Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?Yes 84% 238.1 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes 99.2% 229.88 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Yes 69.8% 143.31 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes 87% 229.89 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 92% 151.08 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.5% 129.87 shares