Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $33.82K
- Potential payout
- $59.88K
- Potential profit
- $26.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $15.74K
Polymarket Trader
NyxoroVambletine
0xe4ac4992830faddb22e0fe10b9d2f60cb0ed448a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.67K
- Realized PnL
- $2.15K
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $5.76K
- Potential payout
- $32.94K
- Potential profit
- $27.17K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.18K
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $78.84
- Potential payout
- $543.73
- Potential profit
- $464.89
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.04K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $639.67
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.35
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $4.93
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$117.46
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.32K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$2.99K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 22% 21,001.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 21% 239 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 48% 64 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 26% 10,060.58 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 14% 29,999.97 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 29% 6,562.93 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 29% 3,560 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 31% 5,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 28% 12,854.88 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 87% 8,085.65 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 34% 13 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes 15% 484.91 shares