Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.25
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Polymarket Trader
0xE39bbEd4954707BeAAE27e1826478B5854e9c898-1776007304983
0xe4b59949bf4103add589291a637f194571a6694b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.92
- Realized PnL
- $2.63
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $5.94
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $56.56
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.26
- Potential profit
- $50.26
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Current value
- $3.37
- Potential payout
- $42.86
- Potential profit
- $39.48
- Multiplier
- 12.71x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $25.85
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.9%
- Current value
- $3.92
- Potential payout
- $17.94
- Potential profit
- $14.02
- Multiplier
- 4.58x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $9.36
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.2%
- Current value
- $2.56
- Potential payout
- $14.12
- Potential profit
- $11.56
- Multiplier
- 5.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $9.68
- Potential profit
- $6.73
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $6.04
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.98
- Potential payout
- $6.98
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.98
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.26
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.26
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.78
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.9%
- Current value
- $1.97
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.08
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.72
- Potential payout
- $1.72
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 21.2% 14.12 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes 8% 62.5 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 31% 9.68 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 22.3% 17.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETUp 64% 8.92 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 28% 14.29 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?Yes 8% 50.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETUp 56% 8.93 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETUp 65% 8.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETUp 62% 8.06 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?Yes 7% 42.86 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes 76% 2.63 shares