Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.87
- Potential profit
- $92.87
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Polymarket Trader
0xE4b5ca839f3bc0D85B2888787d8123F964b3D3f2-1774097583690
0xe4b5ca839f3bc0d85b2888787d8123f964b3d3f2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.78
- Realized PnL
- $6.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $6.24
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $25.76
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Yes position
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $6.61
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $2.08
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.64
- Potential profit
- $1.64
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 25% 32 shares
- Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 61% 1.64 shares
- Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 15% 6.67 shares
- Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 12% 16.67 shares
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 48% 2.08 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 77% 1.3 shares
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 76% 1.32 shares
- Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?Yes 60% 1.67 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 14% 7.14 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.9% 11.7 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 72% 11.71 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETUp 1% 85.74 shares