No position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $25.07
- Potential payout
- $46
- Potential profit
- $20.93
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $2.07
Polymarket Trader
0xe4bc...d2c8
0xe4bcf991c21766a1a4f984c06094f4b73755d2c8
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $54.58
- Realized PnL
- -$11.4
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$2.64
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $6.71
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $2.3
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $7.71
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.71
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
No position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$3.72
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.6%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- Multiplier
- 3.63x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $5.49
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $5.73
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.08
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $15.35
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $7.22
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Multiplier
- 21.74x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.9%
- Multiplier
- 11.24x
- User PnL
- -$7.23
Yes position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$8.16
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Multiplier
- 6.39x
- User PnL
- -$15.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes 11% 19 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 96.4% 8 shares
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No 81% 9 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 82% 9 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 96.2% 5 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 84% 6 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 45.9% 7 shares
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No 86% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 87.7% 5 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 29% 5 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 10 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 51.5% 6 shares