Polymarket Trader

shine

0xe4cfbb89c05d3429280c69969aee2cfb7a4678c4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $27.68K
Realized PnL: $38.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $5.72K
Potential payout: $27.68K
Potential profit: $21.96K
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$8.12K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.4%
Current value: $21.96K
Potential payout: $27.68K
Potential profit: $5.72K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $8.12K

Yes position

Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Jack Doohan be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.1K
Potential profit: $12.1K
User PnL: $14.8

Yes position

Will Yuki Tsunoda be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.07K
Potential profit: $12.07K
User PnL: $14.81

Yes position

Will Lance Stroll be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.05K
Potential profit: $12.05K
User PnL: $14.79

Yes position

Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.51K
Potential profit: $11.51K
User PnL: $13.07

Yes position

Will Oliver Bearman be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.39K
Potential profit: $11.39K
User PnL: $13.43

Yes position

Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.37K
Potential profit: $11.37K
User PnL: $13.41

Yes position

Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.34K
Potential profit: $11.34K
User PnL: $13.36

Yes position

Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.34K
Potential profit: $11.34K
User PnL: $13.36

Yes position

Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.07K
Potential profit: $11.07K
User PnL: $12.78

Yes position

Will Isack Hadjar be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.07K
Potential profit: $11.07K
User PnL: $11.71

Yes position

Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.92K
Potential profit: $10.92K
User PnL: $12.08

Yes position

Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.74K
Potential profit: $10.74K
User PnL: $11.59

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.74K
Potential profit: $10.74K
User PnL: $11.59

Yes position

Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.74K
Potential profit: $10.74K
User PnL: $11.59

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.74K
Potential profit: $10.74K
User PnL: $11.6

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43K
Potential profit: $9.43K
User PnL: $10.07

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.73K
Potential profit: $8.73K
User PnL: $7.61

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.66K
Potential profit: $8.66K
User PnL: $7.63

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.54K
Potential profit: $8.54K
User PnL: $7.19

Yes position

Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.45K
Potential profit: $8.45K
User PnL: $5.88

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.39K
Potential profit: $8.39K
User PnL: $5.79

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.58K

Pirates position

Pirates vs. Phillies

Ends May 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.35K

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53K

Seahawks position

Saints vs. Seahawks

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19K

Bulls position

Bulls vs. Hawks

Ends Nov 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.15K

Yes position

Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

No position

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.06K

Hawks position

Lakers vs. Hawks

Ends Dec 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.04K

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.03K

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

No position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $984.7

Yes position

Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $917.57

Yes position

Will JD Vance clap between 80–89 times during the State of the Union?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $901.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $822.54

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $765.75

Yes position

Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $721.2

Yes position

Will France win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $721.2

Yes position

Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $720.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Yes 76% 30 shares
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

No 90.8% 30 shares
Will Matthew Schaefer win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?

Yes 98.2% 9.71 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Yes 99.8% 22.26 shares
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

No 98.3% 30 shares
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

No 99.9% 30 shares
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

No 50% 18.83 shares
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

No 53% 11.19 shares
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

No 37% 5.57 shares
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

No 36% 24.44 shares
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

No 97.7% 30 shares
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

No 99.9% 30 shares