Polymarket Trader

0xe4d5...406c

0xe4d57a1b748e534ff2ecd6f5e5dd4c11751f406c

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $6.01
Realized PnL: $46.02
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will G2 Esports Make a Roster Change before September?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $74.74
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$5.74

Yes position

Will Johnny Somali's Sentence Be Extended?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $3.79
Potential payout: $63.1
Potential profit: $59.31
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$0.63

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $16.8
Potential profit: $16.04
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$3.44

No position

Trump signs housing bill by end of July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $2.66
Potential profit: $1.45
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $0.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.95

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82

No position

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $1.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Yes position

U.S. Open: First Time Winner?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.15

No position

Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 86%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.08

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Faker Win an International Title in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 39%
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $0.3

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

SCOTUS upholds trans sports bans?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will there be a hole in one at the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.75

Over position

2026 NBA Draft: Freshman Drafted O/U 21.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.86

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.01

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 12AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.05

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Trump signs housing bill by end of July?

No 44% 2.34 shares
Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Down 6% 20 shares
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

Microsoft 30% 14.21 shares
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?

Yes 32% 11.3 shares
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by June 30?

No 76% 10.98 shares
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?

No 39% 17.22 shares
Will there be a hole in one at the 2026 U.S. Open?

Yes 3% 22.69 shares
U.S. Open: First Time Winner?

Yes 58% 19.23 shares
SCOTUS upholds trans sports bans?

No 14% 8.57 shares
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

Yes 24% 17.32 shares
Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?

Yes 18% 31.52 shares
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

Yes 32.3% 19.11 shares