Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $25.79
- Potential profit
- $23.34
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$7.35
Polymarket Trader
Akipm
0xe4d94b6780cf4217add2b4fab2fc6091ffedad37
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.41
- Realized PnL
- -$24.57
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $9.96
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.09
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Honorable" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.4
No position
Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Yes position
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.3
No position
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.6
No position
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.45
Yes position
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?Yes 89% 12 shares
- Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 67% 2.54 shares
- Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Yes 20% 11 shares
- Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 42% 5 shares
- Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes 46% 10 shares
- Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 59% 8 shares
- Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No 24% 8 shares
- Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes 31% 9.68 shares
- Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No 39% 9.36 shares
- Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 70% 9.96 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 88% 5.68 shares