Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $2.8K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.8
Polymarket Trader
oncilla
0xe4dba209fc576621cfd126fdb757a5e8f349b966
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $435.5
- Realized PnL
- $1.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $3.17
- Potential payout
- $705
- Potential profit
- $701.83
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $60.2
- Potential payout
- $280.65
- Potential profit
- $220.45
- Multiplier
- 4.66x
- User PnL
- -$11.66
No position
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $191.45
- Potential payout
- $223.92
- Potential profit
- $32.47
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$9.71
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $136.36
- Potential profit
- $136.36
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $5.05
- Potential payout
- $98.04
- Potential profit
- $92.99
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.7%
- Current value
- $56.45
- Potential payout
- $71.77
- Potential profit
- $15.32
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$3.55
No position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $44.75
- Potential payout
- $67.29
- Potential profit
- $22.54
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.43
- Potential payout
- $66.97
- Potential profit
- $65.54
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$8.57
No position
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49
- Potential profit
- $49
- User PnL
- -$39.98
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.78
- Potential profit
- $46.78
- User PnL
- -$13.99
Yes position
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.12
- Potential profit
- $44.12
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.75
- Potential profit
- $43.75
- User PnL
- -$35
No position
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.75
- Potential profit
- $36.75
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $33.28
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $3.28
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $20.48
- Potential payout
- $31.75
- Potential profit
- $11.27
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.01
- Potential profit
- $23.01
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $15.03
- Potential payout
- $15.24
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.53
Yes position
Will Trump say "Peace Through Strength" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $13.16
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.39
- Potential profit
- $7.39
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.08
- Potential profit
- $5.08
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.59
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.9
No position
Will a hurricane form by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.24
No position
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.57
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.17
No position
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.74
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52.19
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.77
Yes position
Iran strike on Qatar today?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.56
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.51
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.14
No position
Will less than 12 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.93
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.39
Yes position
Will between 12 and 15 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.97
No position
Iran strike on Qatar today?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.91
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: August
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.8
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $28.61
Yes position
Will a hurricane form by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.91
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.68
No position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.38
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.24
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
No position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.65
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.7% 705 shares
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.5% 2,000 shares
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.5% 600 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 63% 31.75 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 83.6% 71.77 shares
- Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No 86.3% 74.64 shares
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.5% 200 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.1% 98.04 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 29.6% 13.47 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 30% 33.3 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 27.1% 59.73 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes 22.9% 37.65 shares