Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Current value
- $3.85K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $16.15K
- Multiplier
- 5.19x
- User PnL
- -$6.15K
Polymarket Trader
On.The.Spectrum
0xe4de861d59e174d3d153a5968bc122c66f30c949
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $30.58K
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.8%
- Current value
- $16.15K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $3.85K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $6.15K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $5.45K
- Potential payout
- $8.71K
- Potential profit
- $3.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $304.93
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $4.19K
- Potential payout
- $5.02K
- Potential profit
- $828.62
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $175.77
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $844.46
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $211.77
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $189.22
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.9%
- Current value
- $98.31
- Potential payout
- $620.23
- Potential profit
- $521.92
- Multiplier
- 6.31x
- User PnL
- $11.47
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.52
- Potential profit
- $9.52
- User PnL
- -$2
N
No position
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.66
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 14% 620.23 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 80% 3,286.96 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 80% 1,735 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 59% 8,712.23 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?No 62% 1,056.23 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Yes 21% 9.52 shares
- Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No 34% 2.94 shares