xzzzzzzzzz

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $145.53
Potential profit: $145.46
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $108.96
Potential payout: $112.33
Potential profit: $3.37
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $86.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $64.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $58.07
Potential profit: $57.75
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$7.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 20?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $16.01
Potential payout: $54.29
Potential profit: $38.27
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.42
Potential profit: $43.42
User PnL: -$3.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.74
Potential profit: $40.74
User PnL: -$7.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $38.48
Potential profit: $38.46
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.25
Potential profit: $36.25
User PnL: -$5.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.6
Potential profit: $35.6
User PnL: -$5.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $30.57
Potential profit: $29.2
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$7.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $24.77
Potential profit: $24.46
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$5.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $20.22
Potential profit: $19.82
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$3.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.82
Potential profit: $15.82
User PnL: -$3.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.43
Potential profit: $8.43
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $7.41
User PnL: -$2.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.81
Potential profit: $6.81
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.97
Potential profit: $4.97
User PnL: -$1.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.25
Potential profit: $4.25
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $1.62
Potential profit: $1.3
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 62.3%
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 23%
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 3%
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: $1.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 15?