Polymarket Trader

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0xe4f84ae8aca2b370e7eef7519a40364b9d052b68

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $232.5
Realized PnL: $92.04K
Win rate: 72.7%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4PM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.32K
Potential profit: $10.32K
User PnL: -$5.16K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.19K
Potential profit: $6.19K
User PnL: -$3.09K

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $137.34
Potential payout: $227
Potential profit: $89.66
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$7.94

Celtics position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.68
Potential profit: $62.68
User PnL: -$52.02

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $34.94
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $16.06
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $2.3

No position

Will Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.77
Potential profit: $50.77
User PnL: -$43.15

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $30.61
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $2.39
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.37

No position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $29.63
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.69K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 5AM ET

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.66K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 12AM ET

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.56K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 12AM ET

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2K

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Clippers

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

Thunder position

Suns vs. Thunder

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$72.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 5AM ET

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Yes 64% 51 shares
76ers vs. Celtics

Celtics 83% 62.68 shares
Suns vs. Thunder

Thunder 93% 23.95 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?

No 96% 34.9 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

No 64% 227 shares
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?

No 85% 50.77 shares
Thunder vs. Clippers

Thunder 70% 31.71 shares
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?

No 95.3% 28 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.1% 30 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET

Up 50% 86,059.05 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET

Up 50% 60,476.8 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET

Down 50% 66,666 shares