No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.49K
- Potential profit
- $15.49K
- User PnL
- -$5.11K
Polymarket Trader
Not-A.Gambler
0xe50b455f46b22cf3040cbf5b72b50e61129a32a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.29K
- Realized PnL
- $7.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.12K
- Potential profit
- $10.12K
- User PnL
- -$6.15K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $2.29K
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $90.38
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $577.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $379.36
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.98
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.45
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.26
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.67
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.78
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.32
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.1
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
Mason Jones position
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.33
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $62.83
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60.17
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Magic
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.38
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
Ceasefire position
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.02
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.5
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.95
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.96
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.96
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.96
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 7% 7,259.14 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?Yes 75.7% 670.86 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 17.5% 3,037.54 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?Yes 85.2% 624.56 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 79.3% 7,086.58 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 90.4% 6,216.68 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 60% 40.88 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 13% 188.9 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 50% 903.7 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?Yes 90.2% 500.98 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 52.6% 1,936.06 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 49% 975.35 shares