No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210.53
- Potential profit
- $210.53
- User PnL
- -$120
Polymarket Trader
Serenemist
0xe5114f2ff231ef93b95953bebf207db380637210
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.05
- Realized PnL
- $20.15
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $18.05
- Potential payout
- $21.11
- Potential profit
- $3.06
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
9z Team position
Valorant: 9z Team vs Melser Kindergarten (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Group A
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.1
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Brazil position
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 90% 21.11 shares
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil 50% 2,000 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 57% 210.53 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 99.4% 10.06 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 95.7% 10 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 95.8% 10 shares
- Valorant: 9z Team vs Melser Kindergarten (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Group A9z Team 33% 29.4 shares