Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2.03K
- Potential payout
- $80K
- Potential profit
- $77.97K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $54.88
Polymarket Trader
WharfMan
0xe53312c6c15af508e0c31e2cfadbefddd399ab29
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $50.96K
- Realized PnL
- $113.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $1.34K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $28.67K
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $195.18
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Current value
- $2.03K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $17.97K
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- $135.02
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.3%
- Current value
- $9.2K
- Potential payout
- $13.09K
- Potential profit
- $3.89K
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $8.65K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $2.15K
- Potential payout
- $11.6K
- Potential profit
- $9.45K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.6K
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $2.68K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $5.32K
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.85K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $3.95K
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $3.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$105.64
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $5.47K
- Potential payout
- $6.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $654.05
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $216.2
- Potential payout
- $4.6K
- Potential profit
- $4.38K
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- -$1.63K
No position
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$1.82K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $3.46K
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $40.25
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $303.25
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.99K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- User PnL
- $529.51
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$1.29K
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $46.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.95K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$993.48
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $937.78
- Potential payout
- $2.98K
- Potential profit
- $2.04K
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$917.16
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $2.72K
- Potential payout
- $2.93K
- Potential profit
- $205.08
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $523.27
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $2.14K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $362.5
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $302.5
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $2.23K
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $23.65
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $260.45
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.65K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $349.99
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $60.02
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- User PnL
- $289.5
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $712.5
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $787.5
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$337.5
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $11.25
- User PnL
- $318.75
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $472.5
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $37.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $997.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- User PnL
- $32.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.1K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.66K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.38K
Yes position
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in August?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.58K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.17K
Yes position
Trump cryptocurrency executive order in first week?
Ends Jan 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.54K
Yes position
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75K
Yes position
WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44K
Yes position
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26K
Yes position
WLFI market cap (FDV) >$16B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75K
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93K
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76K
No position
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66K
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64K
No position
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 6% 3,999.99 shares
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5Over 29% 631.71 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 23% 1,084.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 25% 7,099.98 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 61% 3.33 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Yes 1.1% 1,660 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes 3.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Yes 2.1% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 6% 1,433.57 shares
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 51% 5 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 78.2% 250 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Yes 93% 1,600 shares