QFNH

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $672.07
Potential profit: $672.07
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $341.94
Potential profit: $341.94
User PnL: -$150

Saudi Arabia position

Spread: Saudi Arabia (-3.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $46.58
Potential payout: $321.22
Potential profit: $274.64
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$43.42

IR Iran position

Spread: IR Iran (-3.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $303.41
Potential profit: $303.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $88.68
Potential payout: $218.97
Potential profit: $130.29
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$61.32

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.62
Potential profit: $194.62
User PnL: -$50

Sweden position

Spread: Sweden (-5.5)

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.33
Potential profit: $183.33
User PnL: -$1

New Zealand position

Spread: New Zealand (-5.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.14
Potential profit: $157.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $128.21
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.24
Potential profit: $88.24
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$20

Türkiye position

Spread: Türkiye (-3.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Canada?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.58
Potential profit: $39.58
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.96
Potential profit: $38.96
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Iraq?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.9
Potential profit: $33.9
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $4.87
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $21.45
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $9.87
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $15.77
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Iraq?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $86.5

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.45

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.38

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.43

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.18

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.76

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.39

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.88

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.35

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.15

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.15

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.48

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.51

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.25

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.7

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.83

No position

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.39

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.24

Yes position

Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.37

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Ghana?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?