Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $757.53
- Potential payout
- $13.17K
- Potential profit
- $12.42K
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$242.46
Polymarket Trader
0xe5371183Ff89E878D12f9038eF334c5B8E111EeB-1769683988245
0xe5371183ff89e878d12f9038ef334c5b8e111eeb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $760.48
- Realized PnL
- $1.69K
- Win rate
- 26.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $5.9K
- Potential profit
- $5.9K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$196.71
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.56K
- Potential profit
- $4.56K
- User PnL
- -$1.7K
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- User PnL
- -$388.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $788.39
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.27
Yes position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.17
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.5
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$51.4
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$101.28
Yes position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- -$140.64
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$141.72
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$218.35
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$224.96
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Iran strike on US military by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$318
Yes position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$350
Yes position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$441.2
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$626.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 7.6% 13,174.51 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes 3.4% 5,899.57 shares
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes 37.3% 4,555.1 shares
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?Yes 21.8% 1,784.46 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.6% 2,096.77 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 17% 1,323.29 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 62% 2,096.77 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 9.8% 15,511.61 shares
- US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?Yes 7.9% 2,674.9 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 9.9% 2,115.22 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 10.4% 5,554.38 shares
- US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?Yes 11.8% 1,697.64 shares