Polymarket Trader

sjoerdvdmack

0xe53dd0ae9c5135fccc173f7800179622da72146c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $79.81
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.88K
Potential profit: $8.88K
User PnL: -$8.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.77K
Potential profit: $7.77K
User PnL: -$7.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.77K
Potential profit: $7.77K
User PnL: -$7.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.66K
Potential profit: $6.66K
User PnL: -$6.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
User PnL: -$4.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
User PnL: -$4.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
User PnL: -$4.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.22K
User PnL: -$2.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $276.81
Potential profit: $276.81
User PnL: -$96.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $276.81
Potential profit: $276.81
User PnL: -$40.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $276.81
Potential profit: $276.81
User PnL: -$11.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $253.15
Potential profit: $253.15
User PnL: -$65.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $245.22
Potential profit: $245.22
User PnL: -$137.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $179.38
Potential profit: $179.38
User PnL: -$5.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.47
Potential profit: $178.47
User PnL: -$8.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.47
Potential profit: $178.47
User PnL: -$7.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.47
Potential profit: $178.47
User PnL: -$16.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.47
Potential profit: $178.47
User PnL: -$35.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.47
Potential profit: $178.47
User PnL: -$16.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.47
Potential profit: $178.47
User PnL: -$4.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.47
Potential profit: $178.47
User PnL: -$28.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.47
Potential profit: $178.47
User PnL: -$26.88

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171.02
Potential profit: $171.02
User PnL: -$91.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.94

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Yes 11% 38 shares
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 82% 51.02 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 6.8% 52.68 shares
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 32% 52.68 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 63% 52.68 shares
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Yes 3% 51.02 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 95% 51.02 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Yes 3.6% 92.97 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Yes 21% 92.97 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Yes 61% 92.97 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Yes 10% 92.97 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 47% 41.09 shares