No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $270.4
- Potential payout
- $320
- Potential profit
- $49.6
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Polymarket Trader
kgrjbuo
0xe544bc4b0d8a3c859f990033b1d2991422683028
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $270.4
- Realized PnL
- -$664.63
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $866.43
No position
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $107.1
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Multiplier
- 13.70x
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$301.12
No position
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$494
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$860.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 74.1% 250 shares
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 9.4% 2,000 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?Yes 92% 277.99 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?Yes 93% 30 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?Yes 90% 320 shares
- Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No 86% 90 shares
- Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No 78% 1,200 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 27.6% 58 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 72.5% 750.34 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on January 22?Yes 8% 3,764 shares