Polymarket Trader

hobo69

@gr8oncrypto

0xe54d37c9c12e5fd3d684ff4d193ef1f44dabfdec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.33K
Realized PnL: $57.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.33K
Potential profit: $25.33K
User PnL: -$21.03K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $13.78K
Potential payout: $16.7K
Potential profit: $2.92K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$314.83

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.4K
Potential profit: $10.4K
User PnL: -$7.82K

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $165
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.84K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $235
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.77K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $85

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.98K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $225
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.77K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $55

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $45
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.95K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.99K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $85
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.91K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $148.5
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $8.85K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $138.92
Potential payout: $5.24K
Potential profit: $5.1K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$18.35

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $675
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.33K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$675

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $135
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.87K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$2.3K

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $399
Potential payout: $600.01
Potential profit: $201
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $82.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $217.5
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$94.5

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $200.01
User PnL: -$111.95

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81.6%
Current value: $163.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $36.9
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $23
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $177
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$7

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197.59
Potential profit: $197.59
User PnL: -$132.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.05K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44K

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.78K

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65K

Yes position

US strikes Iraq by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43K

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.89K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

Yes position

Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $944.3

Yes position

Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $861.76

Andrey Rublev position

Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $857.3

Mirra Andreeva position

Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $856.01

Yes position

Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $700.01

Ursa position

Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $679.88

B8 position

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $648.5

Yes position

Will EC Juventude vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $637.68

Magic position

Pistons vs. Magic

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $610

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 18?

Up 79% 528.43 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 17?

Down 77% 200 shares
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Vit Kopriva

Alexander Zverev 99.9% 700 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 16?

Down 48% 200 shares
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

9z 99.9% 999.97 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 3.7% 256.05 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Team Falcons 19% 553.21 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Team Falcons 36% 92.81 shares
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner

Vitality 99.9% 300 shares
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Vitality 99.9% 1,999.96 shares
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner

Vitality 90% 300 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

9z 10% 999.99 shares