N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.3%
- Current value
- $178.56
- Potential payout
- $206.91
- Potential profit
- $28.35
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$5.59
Polymarket Trader
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0xe54d7c00b4305f5be8d75946a850433d30353fc1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $178.56
- Realized PnL
- $47.79
- Win rate
- 69.6%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.73
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.13
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.43
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 89% 206.91 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?No 99.9% 132.25 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?No 99.9% 123.11 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?No 92% 123.12 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 99.9% 113.27 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 91.7% 119.17 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 89.2% 119.17 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.6% 54.41 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 52.93 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 98% 54.42 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No 98.3% 53.33 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 97.2% 52.93 shares