No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $11.72K
- Potential payout
- $11.82K
- Potential profit
- $106.42
- User PnL
- $2.61K
Polymarket Trader
TheArtOfTACO
0xe54fac49d0fa4a47517d5a190554c3d6fcac94f0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.73K
- Realized PnL
- $13.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $5.96K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $39
- User PnL
- $257.02
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $5.55K
- Potential payout
- $5.57K
- Potential profit
- $19.49
- User PnL
- $364.3
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $3.49K
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $12.25
- User PnL
- $407.26
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.99K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- $13.5
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $1.97K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $27
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $13.01
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $1.43K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $72.76
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $147.32
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $142.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $225.21
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.6%
- Current value
- $788.35
- Potential payout
- $955
- Potential profit
- $166.65
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $91.09
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $487.03
- Potential payout
- $818.53
- Potential profit
- $331.5
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $32.84
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $437.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $467.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $32.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $50.5
No position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $307.49
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $192.49
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$47.5
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $298.95
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- User PnL
- $25.95
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $299.85
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $56.85
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $149.01
- Potential payout
- $149.99
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- User PnL
- $18.05
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $21.26
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $83.74
- Multiplier
- 4.94x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.63
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.63
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $948.27
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $842.49
No position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $702.35
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $694.08
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $623.13
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $555.15
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $509.5
No position
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $447.66
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $442.49
Yes position
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $417.56
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $406.57
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.01
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.35
Yes position
Democratic sweep?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.41
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $342.92
Yes position
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $308.7
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.51
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.71
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.45
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.76
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.52
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 73.2% 102 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Yes 20% 105 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes 48% 20 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 75.4% 35.6 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 81% 5 shares
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No 99.8% 1,000 shares
- Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No 99.8% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 99.6% 2,500 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No 90% 100 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 81% 100 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 85.4% 200 shares
- Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?Yes 99.9% 50 shares