Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $197.37
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$802.63
Polymarket Trader
OptimisticAndLucky
0xe567fc1e644520dff0a6e8be0498df8748e63e44
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $197.37
- Realized PnL
- $1.6K
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $914.2
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $439.16
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.54
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.46
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.86
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.05
Yes position
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.46
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.78
No position
Will Trump visit Israel again by Dec 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.51
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.77
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.44
Yes position
Will Israel strike Yemen 0 times by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.74
No position
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
No position
Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu by October 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Yes position
Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.69
No position
Israel banned from Eurovision 2026 by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.17
No position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.61
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$3.64
No position
IDF Chief Eyal Zamir out by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.27
No position
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 38% 2,631.58 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 32% 2,262.77 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 39% 1,282.05 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 51% 980.71 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes 77% 519.48 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes 61% 819.67 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 52% 1,904.58 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 20% 76.42 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 21% 76.42 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 21.1% 152.84 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 21% 916.99 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 22.8% 611.32 shares