No position
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Polymarket Trader
Arthur8198
0xe56e43233391dfe5aae77f6b41befc1f1bd1411c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $2.3
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?
Ends Sep 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C or below on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 99.9% 6.81 shares
- Will "Swapped" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?No 99.9% 9.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 44°C on June 8?No 99.9% 8.51 shares
- Will James Lally be the Democratic nominee for NV-03?No 99.8% 13.71 shares
- Will James Lally be the Democratic nominee for NV-03?No 99.9% 13.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 8?No 99.9% 6.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 44°C on June 8?No 99.8% 8.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on June 6?No 99.8% 17.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on June 6?No 99.8% 14.33 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking have the best AI model on June 6, 2026?No 99.9% 13.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 4?No 99.9% 17.92 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?No 99.9% 11.61 shares