No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $216.37
- Potential profit
- $216.37
- User PnL
- -$70
Polymarket Trader
dreamharder
0xe5815459a7475c9e2b7496f80d03f4994b62cc25
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $162.93
- Realized PnL
- $452.68
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $190.71
- Potential profit
- $190.71
- User PnL
- -$83.25
Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.89
- Potential profit
- $113.89
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.11
- Potential profit
- $108.11
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.46
- Potential profit
- $105.46
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $67.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $32.5
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $47.5
Yes position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $2.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.35
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$2.35
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.46
- Potential profit
- $84.46
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 40.0 on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.61
- Potential profit
- $60.61
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.69
- Potential profit
- $57.69
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $8.94
- Potential payout
- $54.19
- Potential profit
- $45.25
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$11.06
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $50.51
- Potential payout
- $50.51
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $30.51
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.61
- Potential profit
- $45.61
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.28
- Potential profit
- $42.28
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $42
- User PnL
- -$2.06
No position
Will Violet Bridgerton get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.88
- Potential profit
- $33.88
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $33.33
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $18.33
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.84
- Potential profit
- $31.84
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Hillary say "FBI" during her Epstein testimony?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $20.41
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.18
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.09
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.49
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.44
No position
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.6
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.98
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.33
No position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.98
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.23
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.14
Yes position
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.3
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.31
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
No position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.81
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.69
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Yes position
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Yes position
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?Yes 39% 5.13 shares
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Yes 5% 100 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 65% 7.69 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes 1.2% 189.22 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 0.7% 11.9 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes 1.1% 38.88 shares
- Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?Yes 0.5% 10 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 16% 18.75 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 17% 23.53 shares
- Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?Yes 0.2% 209.81 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?Yes 44% 22.73 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?Yes 97.9% 80.3 shares