Polymarket Trader

flowthis

0xe5908c03dcf99be3ee29e4ca51141aeceaf44884

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $215.42
Realized PnL: $225.11
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
User PnL: -$99.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $999.98
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Joaquin Niemann win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $822.84
Potential profit: $822.84
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $549.66
Potential profit: $549.66
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $429.12
Potential profit: $429.12
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $66.5
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $266.83
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: -$33.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.87
Potential profit: $285.87
User PnL: -$98.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $255.07
Potential profit: $255.07
User PnL: -$98.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.95
Potential profit: $178.95
User PnL: -$98.47

No position

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $111.74
Potential payout: $127.71
Potential profit: $15.96
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $11.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.03
Potential profit: $126.03
User PnL: -$99.3

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.7%
Current value: $23.93
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $21.52
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $13.93

Royer position

Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Royer

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.95
Potential profit: $20.95
User PnL: -$9.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $13.24
Potential payout: $13.24
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.21

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.49

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Joaquin Niemann win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 1.2% 822.84 shares
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 1.8% 549.66 shares
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 2.3% 429.12 shares
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 22% 45.45 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Yes 34% 29.41 shares
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

Yes 22% 45.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Down 47% 20.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Down 1% 999.95 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Up 74.9% 13.12 shares
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Royer

Royer 3.5% 28.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Up 78.8% 125.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Down 38.7% 251.43 shares