No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $33.14
- Potential payout
- $189.39
- Potential profit
- $156.25
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $12.14
Polymarket Trader
0xe597...c9a1
0xe597a616c43ac0fddf9702b2fcdf4bde2487c9a1
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $193.1
- Realized PnL
- $238.39
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $37.55
- Potential payout
- $43.41
- Potential profit
- $5.86
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $28.14
- Potential payout
- $28.37
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- $1.89
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $15.12
- Potential payout
- $23.08
- Potential profit
- $7.96
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $16.2
- Potential payout
- $16.27
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $12.71
- Potential payout
- $14.86
- Potential profit
- $2.16
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.71
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.26
- Potential payout
- $14.26
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $12.98
- Potential payout
- $13.62
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.98
Y
Yes position
Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $5.31
- Potential payout
- $5.94
- Potential profit
- $0.62
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $2.79
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2.08
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.07
- Potential payout
- $2.07
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $1.74
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $1.14
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.04
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.03
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.27
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.72
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.39
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.52
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.22
Nongshim Esports Academy position
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.92
Reyes position
UFC Fight Night: Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. Javier Reyes (Featherweight, Prelims)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64
Gen.G Global Academy position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59
Charles Oliveira position
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Disguised position
LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
Jets position
Blackhawks vs. Jets
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Disguised position
LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Team Liquid position
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
T1 position
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.5% 1.01 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.5% 5.88 shares
- Weed rescheduled by June 30?No 99.9% 1 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.2% 1.01 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 65% 1.54 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 65% 1.54 shares
- Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Yes 98.3% 1.02 shares
- Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Yes 97.1% 1.03 shares
- Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Yes 98.9% 1.01 shares
- Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Yes 98% 1.02 shares
- Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Yes 92% 1.09 shares
- Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Yes 92% 1.09 shares