Yes position
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $7.74
- Potential payout
- $15.49K
- Potential profit
- $15.48K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.63K
Polymarket Trader
4UU
0xe5a6766cc93f1ff94788afc82ebd0a3cdcda0a76
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $156.16
- Realized PnL
- $26.55K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $7.14
- Potential payout
- $14.29K
- Potential profit
- $14.28K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$35.72
Yes position
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5.41
- Potential payout
- $10.82K
- Potential profit
- $10.81K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$53.31
Yes position
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $9.88K
- Potential profit
- $9.87K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.81
Yes position
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $9.87K
- Potential profit
- $9.86K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$24.67
Yes position
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.91
- Potential payout
- $9.81K
- Potential profit
- $9.81K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.72
Yes position
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.87
- Potential payout
- $9.73K
- Potential profit
- $9.73K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.6
Yes position
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.86
- Potential payout
- $9.73K
- Potential profit
- $9.72K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.59
Yes position
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.86
- Potential payout
- $9.72K
- Potential profit
- $9.71K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.58
Yes position
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $9.3K
- Potential profit
- $9.3K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.95
Yes position
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $8.19K
- Potential profit
- $8.19K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$36.86
Yes position
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.7
- Potential payout
- $7.4K
- Potential profit
- $7.39K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$25.88
Yes position
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.65
- Potential payout
- $7.31K
- Potential profit
- $7.3K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.27
Yes position
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.12
- Potential payout
- $6.24K
- Potential profit
- $6.23K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$46.2
Yes position
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.11
- Potential payout
- $6.22K
- Potential profit
- $6.21K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.16
Yes position
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.27
- Potential payout
- $4.53K
- Potential profit
- $4.53K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$26.39
Yes position
United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $81.22
- Potential payout
- $4.39K
- Potential profit
- $4.31K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$499.58
Yes position
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.85
Yes position
Will Andrey Gyurov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.78
- Potential profit
- $35.78
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36K
Yes position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36K
Yes position
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
No position
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Senators position
Senators vs. Rangers
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $983.23
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $899.99
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $636.21
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600.02
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $526.04
Yes position
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.78
Yes position
Will Trump say "Luck" this week? (December 8 - 14)
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $497.25
No position
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $422.26
Yes position
Will Trump say "Farmer" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $411.62
Yes position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $387.77
No position
Will Trump or Melania say "Trump" at Chicago Opening Night?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.7
No position
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $309.44
No position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282
Yes position
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.08
Yes position
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $219.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 65% 5,010.36 shares
- Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes 88% 1,786.08 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 64% 128.52 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 63% 2,710.36 shares
- United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?Yes 17% 8 shares
- United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?Yes 20% 38.4 shares
- United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?Yes 14.2% 569.46 shares
- Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No 32.1% 155.85 shares
- Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Yes 28.5% 59.66 shares
- Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No 84.8% 23.42 shares
- Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Yes 75% 221 shares
- Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Yes 22.4% 23 shares