growwise

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $13.47
Potential payout: $340.91
Potential profit: $327.44
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$1.53

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $18.32
Potential payout: $288.46
Potential profit: $270.14
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: $3.32

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $286.58
Potential profit: $286.58
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $4.31
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $273.47
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $3.69
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $234.4
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$1.31

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $11.77
Potential payout: $237.81
Potential profit: $226.04
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $5.1
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $203.23
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $10.6
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $161.81
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$4.4

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $19.8
Potential payout: $168.54
Potential profit: $148.74
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $17.27
Potential payout: $137.61
Potential profit: $120.34
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $2.27

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $9.34
Potential payout: $127.12
Potential profit: $117.78
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$5.66

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.22
Potential profit: $119.22
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $18.55
Potential payout: $115.61
Potential profit: $97.05
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $7.14
Potential payout: $114.29
Potential profit: $107.14
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $26.86
Potential payout: $114.29
Potential profit: $87.43
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$13.14

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.9
Potential profit: $103.9
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $17.19
Potential payout: $93.17
Potential profit: $75.98
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $2.19

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $8.64
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $82.27
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $8.64
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $82.27
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.36

No position

Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.98

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Fauci?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.4

Yes position

Biden drops out in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.78

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.14

Yes position

Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.64

Yes position

Biden drops out before the Democratic convention?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.15

Yes position

Maduro out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.93

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.05

No position

Will Trump announce tariffs on Mexico on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.2

Yes position

Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.67

No position

Biden appoints a man as Secret Service Director?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.8

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $37.5

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.4

Yes position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.13

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.81

Over position

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.61

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.21

Yes position

United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.06

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.76

Seahawks position

Rams vs. Seahawks

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.84

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.33

Under position

Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5