Polymarket Trader

DrunkMarket

0xe5afb784cc223fd153e09d903e59cabde3e02b03

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.19
Realized PnL: $12.77
Win rate: 56.3%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$10

No position

US x China tariff agreement by November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $20.41
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $3.19
Potential payout: $18.23
Potential profit: $15.04
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.8
Potential profit: $2.8
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.65
Potential profit: $2.65
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $2.38
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $2.13
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $1.89
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $1.72
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22
Potential profit: $1.22
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.49

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

Down position

Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Chirayu Rana sued?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Chirayu Rana divorced?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Chirayu Rana divorced?

No 99.3% 1.13 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 63% 1.59 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 58% 1.72 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 82% 1.22 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 48% 2.08 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 53% 1.89 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 36% 2.78 shares
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 26?

Down 72% 1.39 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 65% 1.54 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 0.1% 7.69 shares
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?

Yes 14% 7.14 shares
Chirayu Rana sued?

Yes 76% 1.32 shares