Yes position
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.36K
- Potential profit
- $7.36K
- User PnL
- -$340.86
Polymarket Trader
Giannis2026
0xe5b49b3b107cbf33f4e0644a9ee405596bf41e3e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.14K
- Realized PnL
- $55.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $1.43K
- Potential payout
- $7.16K
- Potential profit
- $5.73K
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.44K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $4.76K
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $742.5
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $931.51
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$173.97
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $3.79K
- Potential payout
- $3.8K
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- User PnL
- $1.29K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $2.88K
- Potential payout
- $3.58K
- Potential profit
- $698.67
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $727.83
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.65K
- Potential payout
- $3.03K
- Potential profit
- $379.17
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $80.84
Yes position
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.67K
- Potential profit
- $2.67K
- User PnL
- -$1.67K
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.52K
- Potential profit
- $2.52K
- User PnL
- -$16.68
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $1.94K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $562.5
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $137.5
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$490.58
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $2.48K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- $355
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $2.48K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- User PnL
- $621.25
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $2.39K
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $24.14
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $310.62
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $2.13K
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $15.05
- User PnL
- $264.45
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $1.8K
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $304.5
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $280.5
Yes position
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- User PnL
- -$1.34K
Indiana position
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$300
Aleksandar Kovacevic position
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$215
Yes position
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$66
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.81K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $190
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $619.99
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $409.99
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
Ends Feb 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.73K
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.05K
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
Sinner position
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinner
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31K
Yes position
Will indoor dining be prohibited in NYC at any point before 2021?
Ends Jan 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
Y
Yes position
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021?
Ends Jan 20, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Yes position
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
No position
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Dems/Ossoff position
Which party will win the U.S. Senate runoff in Georgia? (Ossoff - D vs. Perdue - R)
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
Yes position
Will all of Trump's children attend the State of the Union?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Zverev position
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tien
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Humbert position
Dubai Tennis Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Flavio Cobolli position
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Divisional Round?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Frances Tiafoe position
Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jakub Mensik
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $966.58
No position
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $926.67
Djokovic position
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $884.49
Yes position
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $846.51
Yes position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $777.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 99.7% 496 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 99.1% 499.99 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 99.6% 499.99 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 99.3% 303.99 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99% 450 shares
- Set Handicap: Moutet (-1.5) vs Kyrgios (+1.5)Moutet 43% 30 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99% 450 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 62% 16.16 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 99.9% 405 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 85% 461.33 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 87% 294.95 shares