Suns position
Thunder vs. Suns
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $374.99K
- Potential profit
- $374.99K
- User PnL
- -$82.5K
Polymarket Trader
alwaysfade
0xe5b70fd855af9258d9463992e4f1ed7987905ee3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.84K
- Realized PnL
- $1.21M
- Win rate
- 82%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Rockets position
Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $247.72K
- Potential profit
- $247.72K
- User PnL
- -$141.68K
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $238.9K
- Potential profit
- $238.9K
- User PnL
- -$47.78K
Magic position
Magic vs. Pistons
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $200K
- User PnL
- -$46K
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.35K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $98.65K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $150
Pistons position
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$48.9K
Cavaliers position
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$52K
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $849.64
- Potential payout
- $99.96K
- Potential profit
- $99.11K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$449.81
Hawks position
Hawks vs. Knicks
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.85K
- Potential profit
- $99.85K
- User PnL
- -$9.98K
Wizards position
76ers vs. Wizards
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95K
- Potential profit
- $95K
- User PnL
- -$34.4K
Thunder position
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70K
- Potential profit
- $70K
- User PnL
- -$16.8K
Thunder position
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70K
- Potential profit
- $70K
- User PnL
- -$36.4K
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.58K
- Potential profit
- $61.58K
- User PnL
- -$9.24K
Pistons position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.33K
- Potential profit
- $60.33K
- User PnL
- -$35.5K
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.63K
- Potential profit
- $53.63K
- User PnL
- -$16.66K
Spurs position
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$23.5K
Thunder position
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$20.5K
Under position
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$24.5K
Under position
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$25.5K
Khamzat Chimaev position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$41K
Rockets position
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.91K
- Potential profit
- $49.91K
- User PnL
- -$24.95K
Kings position
Kings vs. Thunder
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $40K
- User PnL
- -$8.4K
Celtics position
76ers vs. Celtics
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37K
- Potential profit
- $37K
- User PnL
- -$33.69K
Yes position
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.28K
- Potential profit
- $34.28K
- User PnL
- -$3.08K
Hornets position
Hornets vs. Heat
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.67K
- Potential profit
- $27.67K
- User PnL
- -$9.33K
Yes position
Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.05K
- Potential profit
- $25.05K
- User PnL
- -$5.81K
Spurs position
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.43K
- Potential profit
- $24.43K
- User PnL
- -$3.18K
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$4.3K
Under position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$10.2K
Spurs position
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$10.2K
Spurs position
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.95K
- Potential profit
- $16.95K
- User PnL
- -$2.88K
Rockets position
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.05K
- Potential profit
- $16.05K
- User PnL
- -$7.38K
Under position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.82K
- Potential profit
- $15.82K
- User PnL
- -$8.39K
Spurs position
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.29K
- Potential profit
- $15.29K
- User PnL
- -$6.57K
Spurs position
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.62K
- Potential profit
- $14.62K
- User PnL
- -$6.29K
Thunder position
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.96K
- Potential profit
- $11.96K
- User PnL
- -$3.83K
Pistons position
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.21K
- Potential profit
- $11.21K
- User PnL
- -$4.93K
Yes position
Will Toronto Raptors advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$600
Hornets position
Hornets vs. Magic
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$6K
Spurs position
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.71K
- Potential profit
- $9.71K
- User PnL
- -$1.94K
Hornets position
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.05K
- Potential profit
- $9.05K
- User PnL
- -$4.43K
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.32K
- Potential profit
- $8.32K
- User PnL
- -$1.91K
Hawks position
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.21K
- Potential profit
- $8.21K
- User PnL
- -$3.94K
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.11K
- Potential profit
- $8.11K
- User PnL
- -$3K
Pacers position
Pacers vs. Mavericks
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $8K
- User PnL
- -$2.56K
Spurs position
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.87K
- Potential profit
- $7.87K
- User PnL
- -$1.73K
Spurs position
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.27K
- Potential profit
- $7.27K
- User PnL
- -$2.18K
Spurs position
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.36K
- Potential profit
- $6.36K
- User PnL
- -$2.55K
Kings position
Kings vs. Bulls
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$1.8K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $4.64K
- Potential payout
- $4.67K
- Potential profit
- $30.33
- User PnL
- $31.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.32K
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.15K
Knicks position
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58K
Magic position
Pistons vs. Magic
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.46K
Timberwolves position
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.4K
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.69K
76ers position
76ers vs. Celtics
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.14K
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Lakers
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.85K
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.6K
Warriors position
Warriors vs. Clippers
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.2K
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.88K
Knicks position
Hawks vs. Knicks
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31K
Celtics position
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5K
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.5K
Rockets position
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.63K
Celtics position
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.5K
Pistons position
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.5K
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.3K
Pistons position
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.5K
Knicks position
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9K
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.63K
76ers position
Celtics vs. 76ers
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.11K
Celtics position
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.6K
Under position
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.4K
Thunder position
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.21K
Rockets position
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.89K
Celtics position
Cavaliers vs. Celtics
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49K
Bryce Mitchell position
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5K
No position
Will Denver Nuggets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4K
Yes position
Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24K
Rockets position
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.92K
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Rockets position
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $971.07
Yes position
Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $796.05
Thunder position
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $729.72
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $550
Under position
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.84
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Hawks
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.16
Under position
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.5
Yes position
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Knicks position
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Stephon Castle win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Mikal Bridges win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$62.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99.1% 3,566.63 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 90% 71,666.9 shares
- Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?Yes 34% 15 shares
- Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?Yes 33.9% 32 shares
- Will Mikal Bridges win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No 99.9% 5,701.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown 21% 476.19 shares
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs 20% 16.15 shares
- Will Mikal Bridges win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No 99.9% 10,000 shares
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Knicks 11% 5 shares
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yes 18% 10 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks 34% 17,999.98 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks 34% 20,843.17 shares