Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.26
- Potential profit
- $21.26
- User PnL
- -$19.98
Polymarket Trader
0xe5Bc16B2AEEb65E34873E34b4DF58D62ff6f11FD-1730234126369
0xe5bc16b2aeeb65e34873e34b4df58d62ff6f11fd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $89.44
- Realized PnL
- $74.45
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$1.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $10.32
- Potential payout
- $10.75
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $10.55
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $10.55
- Potential payout
- $10.56
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.55
- Potential payout
- $10.56
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.41
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.8%
- Current value
- $7.02
- Potential payout
- $10.35
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$2.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.33
- Potential payout
- $10.33
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $10.17
- Potential payout
- $10.24
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $9.55
- Potential payout
- $10.21
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.67
- Potential profit
- $7.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.12
- Potential profit
- $7.12
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.99
- Potential profit
- $2.99
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.38
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.96
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.35
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 4?No 94% 10.64 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 4?No 96% 10.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 4?No 93% 10.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 4?No 97.9% 10.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 4?No 96.8% 10.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 4?No 96.6% 10.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on July 4?No 97.7% 10.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 4?No 94.7% 10.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 4?No 94.7% 10.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 3?No 88% 1.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 3?No 82% 1.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 4?No 93.6% 1.06 shares