Polymarket Trader

NASAMS

0xe5c26de3e236f2d5fb294b820f4a3cde54a794e1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $390.12
Realized PnL: $1.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$6

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $242.6
Potential payout: $795.41
Potential profit: $552.81
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$37.4

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $12.61
Potential payout: $614.93
Potential profit: $602.32
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$30.39

BC.Game Esports position

Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $610.59
Potential profit: $610.59
User PnL: -$50.54

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $442.9
Potential profit: $442.9
User PnL: -$82

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $388.09
Potential profit: $388.09
User PnL: -$27

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $19.93
Potential payout: $334.94
Potential profit: $315.01
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $8.93

Yes position

Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $35.94
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $276.56
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$14.06

Yes position

Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $14.65
Potential payout: $271.32
Potential profit: $256.67
Multiplier: 18.52x
User PnL: -$4.34

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $257.42
Potential profit: $257.42
User PnL: -$57.26

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $40.87
Potential payout: $240.42
Potential profit: $199.54
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$54.03

Elisha Ellison position

UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 9.8%
Current value: $23.53
Potential payout: $240.11
Potential profit: $216.58
Multiplier: 10.20x
User PnL: $3.53

Yes position

Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.6
Potential profit: $230.6
User PnL: -$46

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $206.5
Potential profit: $206.5
User PnL: -$2

GamerLegion position

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.7
Potential profit: $178.7
User PnL: -$60

B8 position

Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.24
Potential profit: $174.24
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.87
Potential profit: $147.87
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will GamerLegion win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.35
Potential profit: $137.35
User PnL: -$18.9

Yes position

Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.9
Potential profit: $102.9
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.96

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.25

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.24

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.46

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.03

Joshua Van position

UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.53

Over position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.83

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.64

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.43

B8 position

Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.24

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.4

Over position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 12.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.56

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.87

Yes position

Norway to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.29

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.67

Yes position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.75

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.67

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.83

G2 position

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.77

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.45

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.41

NRG position

Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.44

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group B

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.93

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?

No 48% 10.42 shares
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 25% 4 shares
UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Cody Garbrandt 24% 20.83 shares
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)

Kamaru Usman 30% 33.33 shares
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

Paddy Pimblett 44% 11.36 shares
UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Elisha Ellison 8.3% 240.11 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 98.9% 13.69 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 84% 11.9 shares
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?

Yes 27% 18.52 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 24% 20.83 shares
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 20% 25 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Yes 32% 15.63 shares