No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 July 6-12?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $230.56
- Potential payout
- $262
- Potential profit
- $31.44
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$18.34
Polymarket Trader
Kastellvalen
0xe5c271b727270f001c77104b019a03f86f0c6b76
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.82K
- Realized PnL
- $39.65
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $248.69
- Potential payout
- $258.11
- Potential profit
- $9.42
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.16
Adithya Karunaratne position
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Klara Vaja vs Adithya Karunaratne
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $175.76
- Potential payout
- $182.32
- Potential profit
- $6.56
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $115.56
- Potential payout
- $121
- Potential profit
- $5.44
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $3.03
Tatjana Maria position
Newport: Olivia Lincer vs Tatjana Maria
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $105.84
- Potential payout
- $112
- Potential profit
- $6.16
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $100.37
- Potential payout
- $107
- Potential profit
- $6.63
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$3.13
Spain position
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $100.27
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $4.73
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $99.58
- Potential payout
- $104
- Potential profit
- $4.42
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 6-12?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $96.8
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.2
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Y
Yes position
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $62.54
- Potential payout
- $66
- Potential profit
- $3.47
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $60.45
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.33
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 6-12?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $52.87
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $4.13
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.23
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 6-12?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $49.98
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $49.24
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $1.76
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Harry Kane record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $48.91
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $2.09
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
No position
Will Mike Cox win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $49.36
- Potential payout
- $50.88
- Potential profit
- $1.53
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will BTS perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $43.75
- Potential payout
- $45.15
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Erling Haaland record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $39.48
- Potential payout
- $40.37
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $24.51
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $14.26
- Potential payout
- $15.23
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $14.57
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Megaquake by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $13.58
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $10.94
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $4.06
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$3.49
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $14.06
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.94
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $4
Lola Radivojevic position
Makarska: Lola Radivojevic vs Mia Ristic
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
Matias Soto position
Bogota: Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Matias Soto
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
Maddison Inglis position
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Hanyu Guo vs Maddison Inglis
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
No position
Will Félix Auger-Aliassime be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
Valentin Royer position
Iasi: Valentin Royer vs Maximilian Neuchrist
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Hernan Casanova position
Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Ignacio Monzon
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
MANA eSports position
Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs MANA eSports - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Jannik Sinner position
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Alexander Zverev position
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
World Cup: Will Argentina Play Portugal?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
N
No position
Will Brazil win the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
N
No position
Will Portugal win the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will Germany score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 6?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 6?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
N
No position
Will Egypt reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 33% 7.99 shares
- Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 69.3% 15 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 11?Yes 95% 5 shares
- Will Mexico win the World Cup?No 97% 5 shares
- Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?No 92.6% 5 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 7?Yes 96.2% 5 shares
- Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?Yes 93.1% 15 shares
- President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Yes 92% 5 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes 84.7% 15 shares
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?No 94.9% 3 shares
- Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?No 95.7% 40 shares
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?No 95.2% 8 shares