Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $11.09K
- Potential payout
- $78.4K
- Potential profit
- $67.31K
- Multiplier
- 7.07x
- User PnL
- $4.28K
Polymarket Trader
cobble
0xe5c2c7a709dd9ab1a43c8b6852a4e9eaa8d4cfb5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.03K
- Realized PnL
- $5.9K
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $24.07
- Potential payout
- $48.14K
- Potential profit
- $48.12K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$24.07
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $13.05
- Potential payout
- $26.1K
- Potential profit
- $26.09K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$36.15
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.31K
- Potential profit
- $18.31K
- User PnL
- -$103.64
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.66K
- Potential profit
- $17.66K
- User PnL
- -$51.42
Yes position
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.5K
- Potential profit
- $17.5K
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will Ariana Grande be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$30
Clippers position
Clippers vs. Heat
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.9K
- Potential profit
- $14.9K
- User PnL
- -$60.51
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.24K
- Potential profit
- $14.24K
- User PnL
- -$59.99
Yes position
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.44K
- Potential profit
- $12.44K
- User PnL
- -$12.44
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.55K
- Potential profit
- $11.55K
- User PnL
- -$39.58
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.31K
- Potential profit
- $11.31K
- User PnL
- -$29.78
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $11K
- User PnL
- -$17.99
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.51K
- Potential profit
- $10.51K
- User PnL
- -$74.86
Yes position
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $115
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.89K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.99K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $1.47K
- Potential payout
- $9.74K
- Potential profit
- $8.27K
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- $430.35
Yes position
Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.83K
- Potential profit
- $8.83K
- User PnL
- -$31.49
Yes position
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.75K
- Potential profit
- $8.75K
- User PnL
- -$19.99
Yes position
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.75K
- Potential profit
- $8.75K
- User PnL
- -$19.99
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $116.15
- Potential payout
- $8.01K
- Potential profit
- $7.89K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$30.16
Yes position
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $8K
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 17, 5PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.66K
- Potential profit
- $7.66K
- User PnL
- -$8.99
Yes position
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.6K
- Potential profit
- $7.6K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.53K
- Potential profit
- $7.53K
- User PnL
- -$199.99
Yes position
Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.46K
- Potential profit
- $7.46K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.09K
- Potential profit
- $7.09K
- User PnL
- -$56.85
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $125.39
- Potential payout
- $6.78K
- Potential profit
- $6.65K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.41K
- Potential profit
- $6.41K
- User PnL
- -$24.99
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.35K
- Potential profit
- $6.35K
- User PnL
- -$108.61
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $28.28
- Potential payout
- $6.29K
- Potential profit
- $6.26K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$33.28
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.06K
- Potential profit
- $6.06K
- User PnL
- -$31.78
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.94K
- Potential profit
- $5.94K
- User PnL
- -$63.71
Yes position
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.78K
- Potential profit
- $5.78K
- User PnL
- -$67.34
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $5.67K
- Potential profit
- $5.66K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$36.84
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.5K
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.4K
- Potential profit
- $5.4K
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Yes position
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$43
Pacers position
Cavaliers vs. Pacers
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$35
No position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$19.2
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $37.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.96K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.73K
- Potential profit
- $4.73K
- User PnL
- -$43
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.63K
- Potential profit
- $4.63K
- User PnL
- -$145
Yes position
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.46K
- Potential profit
- $4.46K
- User PnL
- -$26.2
Yes position
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.27K
- Potential profit
- $4.27K
- User PnL
- -$39.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $666.2
Yes position
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.26
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.93
No position
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.53
Yes position
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 21?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $163.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.97
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.97
Yes position
Will CD Riestra vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.22
No position
Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $103.86
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.81
Yes position
Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $85.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.84
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $72.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.23
No position
Will Trump praise al-Sharaa on Monday?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $57.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.46
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $37.63
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $34.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.12
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 14?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.82
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.12
No position
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $18.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2AM ET
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.51
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.08
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $6.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
Kings position
Cavaliers vs. Kings
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
Will Brian Armstrong say "Token Sale" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Iceland end in a draw?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Up position
Nancy Pelosi Index Up or Down: Week of November 24
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in November 2025?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Yes position
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.19
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Gonzalo Winter come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 28?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.73
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 14 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.1% 5,868.58 shares
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 19,000 shares
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 22,000 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.7% 1,600 shares
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 2,140 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 3,000 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.1% 2,381.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETUp 33% 54.33 shares
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.5% 20,000 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?Yes 7% 331.29 shares
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 3 - 0 Uruguay?Yes 1.1% 90.9 shares