Yes position
Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $433.92
- Potential payout
- $933.17
- Potential profit
- $499.25
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$14
Polymarket Trader
0xe5c7...6ff2
0xe5c72aca344ab2cef1489c0af8c6db1f48b76ff2
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $433.92
- Realized PnL
- $29.18K
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.43K
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08K
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
No position
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $650.21
Yes position
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580.5
Yes position
Over $1.5M committed to the Makina public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.15
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $174.13
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Pacers
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.7
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Heat
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.13
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.90 on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Up position
Solana Up or Down - December 31, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30.95
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45.45
Yes position
Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$57
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$77.98
No position
Over $30M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$105.87
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$249.98
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$431.44
No position
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$584.46
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$591.96
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.16K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes 7% 6,521.73 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes 2.1% 5,130.03 shares
- Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 52.1% 933.18 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 46% 1,733.4 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 72.8% 573.5 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 0.7% 28,571.42 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 0.5% 10,000 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 68.4% 292.41 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes 3.7% 11,111.06 shares
- Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 48% 1,866.35 shares
- Lighter Airdrop on December 29?No 97% 2,581.42 shares
- Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No 11.6% 10,139.95 shares