Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22K
- Potential profit
- $22.22K
- User PnL
- -$200
Polymarket Trader
genius-trader
0xe5ca4b3c373c5bc99ddd4e0b29146087b896cec7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $157.68
- Realized PnL
- $571.43
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $510.25
- Potential profit
- $510.25
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $329.3
- Potential profit
- $329.3
- User PnL
- -$50
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$50
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160.63
- Potential profit
- $160.63
- User PnL
- -$50
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.14
- Potential profit
- $135.14
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $117.65
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $68.99
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $31.01
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $21.99
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.89
- Potential profit
- $98.89
- User PnL
- -$44.5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.99
- Potential profit
- $91.99
- User PnL
- -$38.63
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.54
- Potential profit
- $90.54
- User PnL
- -$35.11
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $88.69
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5.89
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.93
- Potential profit
- $84.93
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.33
- Potential profit
- $63.33
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.98
- Potential profit
- $61.98
- User PnL
- -$5.7
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.98
- Potential profit
- $35.98
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.98
- Potential profit
- $29.98
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.29
- Potential profit
- $24.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $16
- User PnL
- -$3.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.95
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.99
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.54
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.99
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.98
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.31
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.94
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.62
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.51
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.25
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.82
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.45
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.86
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETDown 35.3% 84.93 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETUp 5.9% 510.25 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETUp 17% 117.65 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETDown 83.2% 156.15 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETDown 32% 156.16 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETDown 37% 135.14 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETDown 82% 126.27 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETDown 39.6% 126.28 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETDown 30% 166.67 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETDown 38.8% 90.54 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETUp 57.9% 132.3 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETUp 37.8% 132.31 shares