No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $2.77K
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $60.95
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $69.46
Polymarket Trader
chrislilondon
0xe5d081f53d7bd4c4ada54da622af3c092b0c8203
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.07K
- Realized PnL
- $1.29K
- Win rate
- 82.4%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $105.2
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $82.3
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $97.13
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $7.88
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $62.29
- Potential payout
- $66.09
- Potential profit
- $3.8
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $6.11
Yes position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.6%
- Current value
- $7.82
- Potential payout
- $15.79
- Potential profit
- $7.97
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $422.34
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.67
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Newfoundland and Labrador in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.92
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.07
Florida position
Florida vs. Houston
Ends Apr 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.4
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.56
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.43
No position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
No position
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.97
Yes position
Will Carney say "Tariffs" 3+ times during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
No position
X allowed to operate in China before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45.87
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$138.47
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$642.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 70% 250.76 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes 96.2% 800 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 92% 105 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 85% 1,176 shares
- US-China trade deal before June?No 80% 57.34 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes 12.7% 352.92 shares
- Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No 68% 580 shares
- Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?No 93% 20.93 shares
- Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?Yes 10.1% 490 shares
- Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Newfoundland and Labrador in the next Canadian Election?Yes 95.8% 300 shares
- X allowed to operate in China before May?No 99.1% 487.81 shares
- Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?No 93% 50 shares