babasirin

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $303.25
Potential profit: $303.25
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $275.74
Potential profit: $275.74
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Marty Supreme win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.53
Potential profit: $200.53
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $15.42
Potential payout: $162.36
Potential profit: $146.93
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$24.58

Yes position

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.14
Potential profit: $135.14
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.55
Potential profit: $118.55
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 6AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.29
Potential profit: $83.29
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.95
Potential profit: $79.95
User PnL: -$6.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.71
Potential profit: $77.71
User PnL: -$15.92

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.04
Potential profit: $74.04
User PnL: -$35.54

Yes position

Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.53
Potential profit: $61.53
User PnL: -$10.96

No position

Discord IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $33.43
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $23.71
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $31.43

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.58
Potential profit: $52.58
User PnL: -$12.91

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.28
Potential profit: $51.28
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.76
Potential profit: $44.76
User PnL: -$19.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.86
Potential profit: $43.86
User PnL: -$25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Wisconsin Badgers position

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverines

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.73

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.9

Yes position

Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 6AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.22

Yes position

Will Meta (META) close above $700 end of January?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.08

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 5AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.43

No position

Meta "Mango" model released by March 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.77

No position

Will Michael B. Jordan (Sinners) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.74

No position

Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.15

Flames position

Flames vs. Penguins

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

No position

Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET