Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.04
Polymarket Trader
Amari112
0xe5e479eef5c692c1c72c1cac306259bd40139134
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $141.89
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $26.36
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- $21.86
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $10.36
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.57
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.04
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $26.36
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- $21.86
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $10.36
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.57
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.02
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.52
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.23
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79
Yes position
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.56
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.52
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will the Gujarat Titans win the 2025 Indian Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 1.9% 2 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 35% 93 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No 96.1% 125 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 224 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 11% 54 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 11% 54 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 97.6% 91 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 97.7% 170 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 2.2% 88 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 2.7% 562 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 76% 248 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 83% 211 shares