Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $5.7
Polymarket Trader
declan410kailyn
0xe5e8362e75bf74a7cd2b148b787f14e9c9063330
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $8.76
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0.74
Inter Milan position
Will Feyenoord or Inter Milan advance in the UCL Round of 16?
Ends Mar 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will TikTok be banned again before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0.74
Inter Milan position
Will Feyenoord or Inter Milan advance in the UCL Round of 16?
Ends Mar 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will TikTok be banned again before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Trump post less than 80 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Estonia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Ethereum all time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?
Ends Jul 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alberta join the US?Yes 4% 3 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?Yes 4.7% 83 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?Yes 4.8% 86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 67% 45 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 28% 13 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 97% 52 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 97% 52 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No 98.4% 47 shares
- Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 1.3% 46 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 54% 85 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 48% 95 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 82% 50 shares