No position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $149.05
- Potential payout
- $256.98
- Potential profit
- $107.93
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $69
Polymarket Trader
F161803398
0xe5e851be07381d48064dbc3f90e4075f8f8576a1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $378.11
- Realized PnL
- $1.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $4.33
- Potential payout
- $255
- Potential profit
- $250.67
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$15.66
No position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $224.73
- Potential payout
- $234.82
- Potential profit
- $10.1
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $74.73
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second-best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.46
- Potential profit
- $81.46
- User PnL
- -$1.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.49
Yes position
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.12
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.08
Yes position
Will "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.84
No position
Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.67
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.89
No position
Will "Performance" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.86
Yes position
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77.19
No position
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.84
No position
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.73
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.4
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.57
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.4
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.24
Yes position
Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.21
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.33
Yes position
Will "Melania" score at least 10 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.98
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.81
No position
Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.4
Yes position
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.65
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.32
Yes position
Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.4
No position
Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 5% 80 shares
- Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?No 24% 20.83 shares
- Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Yes 28% 9.3 shares
- Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Yes 65.1% 107.5 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 6% 66.67 shares
- Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?No 26% 19.23 shares
- Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?No 12% 50 shares
- Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?No 16.5% 12.14 shares
- Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?No 26.2% 38.14 shares
- Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?No 5% 200 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes 17.4% 30 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes 38.4% 60 shares