shtf

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.67
Potential profit: $38.67
User PnL: -$29

Yes position

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $21.75
Potential payout: $25.29
Potential profit: $3.54
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $16.3
Potential payout: $23.29
Potential profit: $6.99
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $20.11
Potential payout: $22.99
Potential profit: $2.87
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $21.59
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $1.14
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.59

No position

Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $16.08
Potential payout: $22.65
Potential profit: $6.57
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$3.92

No position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $19.89
Potential payout: $21.05
Potential profit: $1.16
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $20.11
Potential payout: $21.05
Potential profit: $0.95
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.28
Potential profit: $17.28
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $8.92
Potential payout: $16.07
Potential profit: $7.15
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $2.58
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $12.58
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$7.42

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.94
Potential profit: $14.94
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-06-27?

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $9.86
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $3.65
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.36
Potential profit: $12.36
User PnL: -$11

New York Liberty position

New York Liberty vs. Seattle Storm

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $11.49
Potential profit: $11.44
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$9.94

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $10.98
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.98

Indiana Fever position

Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $8.05
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.09
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.09

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $7.04
Potential payout: $8.86
Potential profit: $1.82
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $7.13
Potential payout: $8.75
Potential profit: $1.62
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $7.04
Potential payout: $8.54
Potential profit: $1.49
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.7

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 95.4%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $28.57

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $24.22

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.07

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.97

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $12.21

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

Implied probability: 71%
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $1.91

Yes position

Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will "Maternal Instinct" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Implied probability: 98.2%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

Implied probability: 96.5%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 98.4%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

Implied probability: 77.2%
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will one person dissent the June Fed decision?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?