Yes position
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $28.42
- Potential payout
- $14.21K
- Potential profit
- $14.18K
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$26.8
Polymarket Trader
CherryB16
0xe6055a224d277a3eb39df9ee5ea8201c55c4ac5f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.95K
- Realized PnL
- $26.92K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $28.4
- Potential payout
- $2.99K
- Potential profit
- $2.96K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $11.49
- Potential payout
- $2.55K
- Potential profit
- $2.54K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$349.6
Yes position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $123.32
- Potential payout
- $2.54K
- Potential profit
- $2.42K
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$63
Yes position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $81.97
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- -$46.4
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $4.33
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$45.67
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $252.54
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $778.23
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$15.46
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $307.12
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $716.61
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $40.95
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $255
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $745
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $473.66
- Potential payout
- $885.35
- Potential profit
- $411.69
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$26.34
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $45.39
- Potential payout
- $848.33
- Potential profit
- $802.94
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will Kuwait sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $15.29
- Potential payout
- $764.29
- Potential profit
- $749
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$38.21
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $41.07
- Potential payout
- $746.67
- Potential profit
- $705.6
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$3.73
Yes position
Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $10.77
- Potential payout
- $742.47
- Potential profit
- $731.7
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$191.79
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3.53
- Potential payout
- $642.7
- Potential profit
- $639.17
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$26.46
No position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $140.79
- Potential payout
- $586.62
- Potential profit
- $445.83
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$9.21
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $14.87
- Potential payout
- $531.21
- Potential profit
- $516.33
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$13.72
No position
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $29.59
- Potential payout
- $328.82
- Potential profit
- $299.23
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$17.39
Yes position
Will there be no next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $11.65
- Potential payout
- $268.51
- Potential profit
- $256.86
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $62.44
- Potential payout
- $208.12
- Potential profit
- $145.69
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$37.56
Yes position
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $69.1
- Potential profit
- $68.69
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$22.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39K
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87K
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.72K
Yes position
Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $993.25
Yes position
Trump cryptocurrency executive order in first week?
Ends Jan 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $943.74
Yes position
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $922.47
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $829.9
Yes position
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $801.57
Yes position
Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $792.69
Yes position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $756.05
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $735.84
Yes position
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $688.71
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $686.55
Yes position
Will Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $684.26
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $683.2
Yes position
Trump x Xi talk before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $683.1
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $645.48
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $631.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 4.7% 268.51 shares
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 25.6% 586.62 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 25% 1,000 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 6% 746.67 shares
- Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.2% 2,621.29 shares
- Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.4% 11,590.91 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 67.1% 769.23 shares
- Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?No 17.7% 47.56 shares
- Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?No 13.7% 281.26 shares
- Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.7% 2,989.9 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 65% 769.23 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No 35% 8.03 shares