Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $25.26
- Potential payout
- $27.91
- Potential profit
- $2.65
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.26
Polymarket Trader
Mirthwoodrq
0xe615a2c67e29059e9e6e15eca60f5e18db0cc23d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.26
- Realized PnL
- $7.32
- Win rate
- 90%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.17
- Potential profit
- $19.17
- User PnL
- -$3.26
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$2
Heat position
Heat vs. Pacers
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.39
- Potential profit
- $10.39
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.94
- Potential profit
- $4.94
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Magic position
Bucks vs. Magic
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 86% 27.91 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6?Yes 99.2% 20.16 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6?Yes 78.2% 6.39 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?Yes 18% 11.11 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 91% 27.47 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 98.9% 23.68 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.1% 23.69 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 92.9% 26.76 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 93.4% 26.76 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 96.1% 26.28 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 95.1% 26.29 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Yes 17% 18.34 shares