Polymarket Trader

NorthernStar

0xe61badb6232a0d8f653be98dad70bbffab44b4ad

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $82.93
Realized PnL: $46.44
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $75.6
Potential payout: $133.82
Potential profit: $58.23
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.99
Potential profit: $129.99
User PnL: -$24.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.09
Potential profit: $75.09
User PnL: -$5.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.99
Potential profit: $37.99
User PnL: -$12.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$6.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$15.3

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $3.23
Potential payout: $13.73
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.4
Potential profit: $12.4
User PnL: -$9.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 41.1%
Current value: $4.1
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.9
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $9.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Belgium to score first vs. IR Iran?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.93

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.61

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or below on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 27?

No 44.8% 103.82 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 27?

No 43% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 27?

No 49% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 24?

Yes 17% 5.88 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 24?

No 84% 11.9 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?

Yes 70% 14.29 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or below on June 22?

Yes 89% 11.24 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?

Yes 73% 5.48 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 22?

Yes 10% 13.88 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 22?

No 71% 19.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 22?

Yes 36% 13.89 shares
Belgium to score first vs. IR Iran?

Yes 66% 4.55 shares